tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2601639312234106733.post7723826450227959415..comments2023-11-10T22:27:47.359-05:00Comments on Eye on a Crazy Planet: Trudeau switches targets in bid to cut Mulcair’s momentum in pollsRichard Khttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10239826441964023625noreply@blogger.comBlogger1125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2601639312234106733.post-77742396496902661622015-07-21T12:50:06.572-04:002015-07-21T12:50:06.572-04:00This would have been a fantastic idea two years ag...This would have been a fantastic idea two years ago. When a government has been in office as long as Harper's has, the subsequent is <em>always</em> a referendum on the incumbent. <br /><br />But, being an amateur, Trudeau bought the early polling that showed the election as being a mere formality. That turned out to be pretty stupid, especially in Quebec, where the Grits now trail even the Tories. If there are no significant Liberal gains there, there won't be a Liberal Party for very much longer. British Columbia is even worse and I predict that their polling is soon going to slip dramatically in Ontario. <br /><br />like him or not, Muclair is a very, very smart man and an adroit politician. He also strikes me as the most temperamentally conservative of the three major leaders, not given to wild Hail Mary passes that could blow up in his face. <br /><br />Putting someone like that sleep takes years of work, not less than three months. <br /><br />On the other hand, Harper made the same mistake, directing all of his fire at Trudeau and ignoring the very real threat of the NDP. <br /><br />I'm still a long way from predicting a Muclair victory, but I can see a pathway where it could happen, which I didn't just 60 days ago. Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02269077914921491721noreply@blogger.com